Sunday 4/26/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

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Sunday 4/26/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Tom Freese

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics

Tampa Bay is 10-4 their last 14 games vs. Oakland and they are 38-13 after scoring two or less runs in their last game. The Rays are 4-1 vs. teams with a win percentage of under 40%. Oakland is 9-24 their last 33 games vs. AL East teams and they are 8-21 in Game 3 of a series. The Athletics are 7-19 vs. an opponent that scored 2 or less runs in their last game and they are 1-5 their last 6 games overall.

Play on: Tampa Bay
 
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VEGAS EXPERTS

Orlando Magic at Philadelphia 76ers

Over the last two NBA seasons, there has been no better revenge team than the Orlando Magic, who are 44-19 ATS in that role. Make it a same season revenge situation and they are 28-9 vs. the number. Orlando finished the regular season with the league's best road record (27-14 SU/ATS), so you have to think that they will produce in this must win situation. Philly has gotten lucky so far winning both its games in the waning seconds.

Play on: Orlando
 
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Marc Lawrence

Play On: Philadelphia w/Moyer

The Phillies and Marlins wrap up their weekend set in South Florida this afternoon when cagey veteran Jamie Moyer takes the mound for Philadelphia. To say Moyer enjoys hurling against the Fish would be an under statement considering his 11- 1 career team start mark, including 6-0 here with a 1.59 ERA. With that look for the Phillies to improve to 8-2 away on Sundays here today.
 
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James Patrick Sports

Devils vs. Hurricanes

The series lead now belongs to the New Jersey Devils and game #6 will be a war as these teams have played Under the Total in 20 28 overall and at a 6-2-2 ATS rate in Carolina. Our NHL Playoff complimentary selection in Sunday action is Devils - Hurricanes Under the Total.
 
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ROCKETMAN

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds

Both teams coming in with identical 9-8 records on the season. Atlanta is scoring only 3.7 runs per game against right handed starters and have only a .236 batting average as a team. Atlanta bullpen has stunk with a whopping 6.07 ERA overall and a 7.66 ERA on the road this year. Owings is 2-0 with a 3.46 ERA overall vs Atlanta since 1997. Braves are 16-37 in their last 53 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Braves are 12-28 in their last 40 vs. National League Central. Braves are 10-24 in their last 34 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Braves are 8-24 in their last 32 games as a road favorite. Braves are 6-21 in their last 27 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Reds are 11-4 in their last 15 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Reds are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Reds are 6-2 at home vs Braves last 8 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Cincinnati today!
 
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Jimmy The Moose

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays are off to a 13-6 start to the year and have yet to lose a series and with this one with Chicago tied at 1-1 they have the perfect ace on the mound to make sure they win the series, Roy Halladay. Roy's 3-1 on the year with a 3.72 ERA. The Jays are 6-3 on the road. Toronto's bats have been red hot prior to last night's game and they'll rebound vs. a White Sox pitcher who hasn't been very good. Chicago sends Contreras, 0-3 with an ERA of 8.04 to the mound this afternoon. Look for the Blue Jays to get to him early and often. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays -.
 
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MTi Sports

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Cleveland Indians

Both of these teams have won their starter?s last two starts. However, the Indians are 40-16 at home when they won the last two games their starter started and the Twins are 12-28 as a dog when they won the last two games their starter started. Consider Cleveland.
 
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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Pittsburgh Pirates +170

Pittsburgh crushed San Diego 10-1 last night and I'll take the Pirates at a great price Sunday. While we know Peavy's track record is one of the best, he hasn't shined like we are used to seeing in the early going with a 5.13 ERA. Meanwhile, the Pirates Ohlendorf has surprised early on with an ERA of 3.00. He was sensational in his last start, pitching a shutout against the Marlins. The Padres struggle to hit the ball in pitcher-friendly Petco. In fact, SD is 4-20 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons. The Padres are 17-38 in their last 55 during game 3 of a series, 28-57 in their last 85 vs. a team with a winning record, and only 5-11 in Peavy's last 16 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Bet the Bucs showing good value.
 
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Karl Garrett

NY Yankees +125 at BOSTON

No way the Yankees get swept at Fenway this Sunday night!

New York could-have, should-have won both games this weekend, but now they are faced with saving face this Sunday night, and I have to tell you, after watching Andy Pettitte exit the dugout after yesterday's loss, I have a strong feeling the veteran southpaw is going to improve upon his 2-0 April ledger with some quality innings tonight.

Justin Masterson looks like a keeper for the Red Sox, but I just don't see him staying in this game all that long.

The Yankees have to be seething, and Pettitte has looked "vintage" thus far this April, going 2-0 in his 3 starts with a slender 2.53 ERA.

Of course New York is disappointed with the results of Friday, and Saturday, but I look for them to leave Beantown by avoiding the sweep.

Take the Yankees in the dog role.

5♦ NY YANKEES
 
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Jeff Benton

Toronto at CHI. WHITE SOX

For Sunday’s Bonus Play, we’ll take the Blue Jays and Roy Halladay on the run-line (-1½ runs) at the White Sox.

Halladay is coming off a pretty ugly outing against the Rangers, as he gave up five runs (all earned) in a 5-4 home loss. But look deeper into the boxscore of that game and you’ll see that Halladay went eight innings, struck out nine and walked none. He was simply burned by the long ball. In fact, Halladay has given up just four home runs in 29 innings this season, and all four came in his two worst starts – he also allowed a pair of dingers on Opening Day, when he beat the Tigers 12-5.

But what’s important to note about the Toronto ace is that he almost always follows up a shaky outing with a dominating performance. To wit: After allowing five runs in seven innings in that 12-5 win over Detroit on Opening Day, he came back five days later and allowed one run on five hits in seven innings in a victory at Cleveland. And if you go back to Jun 20 of last season, Halladay has made 23 starts, 18 of which have been “quality” outings (giving up three earned runs or fewer while pitching at least seven innings).

Not only that, but during this 23-start stretch, he hasn’t once had back-to-back NON-quality starts. Taking it a step further, after his last four non-quality starts – ironically, he gave up exactly five earned runs in each of those subpar efforts – Halladay’s cumulative ERA in his very next start is 1.20! Talk about consistency.

Finally, a quick note about Halladay’s mound opposition today, Jose Contreras: The guy is so far over the hill, I wouldn’t be surprised if he was collecting Social Security. In three starts this season, he’s 0-3 with an 8.04 ERA. And going back to 2006, Contreras has faced Toronto four times … and Chicago has lost all four by a combined 23-11 tally. Finally, despite last night’s result, the Blue Jays are still 9-2 in the last 11 meetings with the White Sox. Add it all up, and we’ll confidently play Halladay and look for a multi-run win by the visitors (who, by the way, will get a full nine turns at bat, which is a big deal when playing the run line).

3? TORONTO (-1 1/2 runs)
 
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Bobby Maxwell

Cleveland -9 at DETROIT

Today's FREE winner on the hardwood comes from Motown as we play the Cavaliers to finish off the Pistons in grand style.

We've got to believe most of the Pistons are packed and have their plane tickets ready for vacation as this one tips off today. They've shown no fight in this series and if it wasn't for Rip Hamilton, they would have lost by 25 on Friday night. Look for Cleveland to make this one a laugher early and destroy Detroit today.

Cleveland has won and covered in all three to this point, including Friday's 79-68 win as a five-point road chalk. And that easy win came after the Cavs put up just nine points in the third quarter and let Detroit tie the game heading to the fourth. Cleveland dominated the final 12 minutes and they'll dominate every minute of this one.

LeBron James just missed a triple-double on Friday, finishing with 25 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists. Detroit shot just 38 percent from the floor and only two players reached double-digit scoring.

The Cavs have won six straight against the Pistons (5-1 ATS) and the favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Cleveland is a solid 23-19 ATS away from home this season while the Pistons are a lousy 13-29 ATS in front of the home fans.

Don't be afraid to lay the big chalk in this one. Cleveland wins in a blowout and gets some rest before the second round starts.

4♦ CLEVELAND


N.Y. Yankees +125 at BOSTON

Gave you a FREE winner on the diamond Saturday as we scored with the Giants in Arizona against the D'Backs. Tonight we've got another one for you as we play the Yankees at Fenway Park against the Red Sox.

What a strange series this has been already. The Yankees have been in great position to win each of the first two games, only to lose them both. Well, we're not going to see a sweep in this series, so grab the plus-money and watch New York actually close the deal tonight.

Boston scored a come-from-behind 5-4 win on Friday night with two runs with two outs in the ninth to tie and then the game-winner in the 11th. Then Saturday they rallied from a 6-0 deficit and blew out the Yankees 16-11. Two strange games that don't bode well for the New York bullpen.

But tonight the Yanks have lefty Andy Pettitte (2-0, 2.53 ERA) on the mound to try and stop the bleeding. He's been great in his three outings this season, giving up just six runs while pitching at least seven innings each time. On Tuesday he allowed just two runs and didn't walk a batter in New York's 5-3 win over the A's. With the veteran lefty on the hill, New York is on runs of 4-0 overall, and 37-17 against the A.L. East.

In his career, Pettitte is 16-8 with a 3.74 ERA against Boston and the Yankees are 5-2 in his last seven outings against the Red Sox, iincluding 3-0 at Fenway Park.

Justin Masterson (1-0, 3.18 ERA) goes for the Sox and in five outings against New York, he is 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA.

National TV for this one, so grab the plus-money and the Yankees at Fenway.

2♦ N.Y. YANKEES
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline

Boston +3 at CHICAGO

Early NBA action on Sunday, and we think the defending champion Celtics have had their wake-up call.

Boston came into the Windy City on Thursday, and everyone was touting how vunerable they were, and all they did was blast the Bulls 107-86. That win just goes to show you how young and inexperienced Chicago is, and that also applies to the head coaching department, as this is Vinny Del Negro's first rodeo so to speak.

We will grab the points with Boston in Game Four, as we think the Celts are finally in tune with the fact KG is not going to help them in the forseeable future.

Boston has won 8 of the last 10 series meetings, and they have covered in 7 of those 10.

Rare inded when you find the defending NBA champions getting points, even on the road.

Play on the C's!

5♦ BOSTON
 

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Does anyone get THEERODFATHER?

He was on fire in the NBA Playoffs for the first few days.
 

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